Supreme Court of Canada Justices are Unpredictable - Mostly, Part II

This is a follow-up to the previous post regarding the paper Andrew Green and I recently posted on SSRN.  The point of this post is to elaborate on the motivation for the paper and summarize our results.

Is Gender Really More Important than Appointing Prime Minister?

Professors Jame Stribopoulos and Moin Yahya recently published an article in the Osgoode Hall Law Journal entitled, Does a Judge's Party of Appointment or Gender Matter to Case Outcomes? An Empirical Study of the Court of Appeal for Ontario.  The abstract explains:

This study reveals that at least in certain categories of cases, both party of appointment and gender are statistically significant in explaining case outcomes.  Between these two variables, gender actually appears to be the stronger determinant of outcome in certain types of cases.  While these findings are cause for concern, this study also points toward a simple solution.  Diversity in the composition of appeal panels both from the standpoint of gender and party of appointment dampened the statistical influence of either variable.  In other words, in the case of gender, a single judge on a panel who is of the opposite sex from the others, or in the case of political party, a single judge appointed by a different political party, is sufficient to eliminate the potential distorting influence of either variable.  This finding suggests a need to reform how appeal panels are currently assembled in order to ensure political and gender diversity and minimize concerns about the potential for bias.

Why Judicial Independence Matters

co-authored by Adam Dodek and Lorne Sossin

This commentary was first published on the Globe and Mail website on November 23, 2007.

Why should Canadians care about judicial independence? For one, history shows that a strong independent judiciary can be a bulwark against tyranny. Often, the first thing that an aspiring dictator does is attempt to neutralize the independence and effectiveness of the judiciary through harassment or corruption. Robert Mugabe's success to this effect in Zimbabwe is an unfortunate recent case study in the demise of judicial independence and its impact on society. Similarly, in Pakistan, where a stacked Supreme Court ruled yesterday to clear General Pervez Musharraf's path to re-election, Chief Justice Iftikhar Chaudhry and other members of the court had been confined to house arrest.

In Canada, we have been fortunate to have escaped such upheavals. However, we often look to the independence of the judiciary to resolve some of the most divisive and highest-profile issues of the day — through commissions of inquiry, invariably headed by a judge. We need only think of Gomery, Goudge, Arar, Walkerton, Air-India and now, of course, the Mulroney inquiry. In Canada, judicial independence is the collective constitutional capital that we frequently draw against to help bail us out of messy problems; we should not take it for granted.

Collegiality and Ideological Commitment

I've just posted a new paper on SSRN entitled, "Should They All Just Get Along? Judicial Ideology, Collegiality, and Appointments to the Supreme Court of Canada".  My coauthor, Andrew Green, and I argue that the singular focus on the policy preferences of Supreme Court justices is apt to miss an important dimension of Court dynamics--the degree to which the justices engage in cooperative decision-making.

Here's the abstract:

Discussion of Dunsmuir v. New Brunswick

Friday, June 13, 2008

On June 4, 2008, a Roundtable was held at the Faculty of Law, University of Toronto on the Dunsmuir v. New Brunswick decision from the Supreme Court of Canada (handed down in March of 2008).  The aim of the Roundtable was to explore the implications of this decision for the development of Administrative Law, and in particular the Court's wide-ranging discussion of the standard of judicial review of administrative action, deference, and the applicability of procedural fairness to public office holders.

The background material for the Roundtable, including the Dunsmuir case, the facta filed at the Supreme Court, and some early commentaries are available for download at: http://www.law.utoronto.ca/conferences/dunsmuir.html.

Below, we have prepared a summary (in PDF format) of the themes, ideas and arguments raised during the Roundtable in the hopes that it will serve as a catalyst for further discussion and debate.  We invite comments on any aspect of the discussion which might interest readers of this blog.

 

Reform Needed in Selection System for Supreme Court Judges

This commentary was published in the National Post on September 11, 2008.

In the spring of this year, the government established an advisory committee to assess candidates to fill the vacancy left on the Supreme Court of Canada by the resignation of Justice Michel Bastarache. Unfortunately, the committee has fallen victim to infighting between government and opposition. The squabbling has been used as an excuse by the Prime Minister to bypass the committee altogether and to unilaterally nominate Justice Thomas Cromwell of the Nova Scotia Court of Appeal in a clear departure from the selection procedure announced by Justice Minister Rob Nicholls on May 28.

Even so, since the nomination must also run the scrutiny of yet another House of Commons committee -- which cannot be established till after the election-- it is clear that the vacancy on the Supreme Court will not be filled till late this year at the earliest, and probably not till early 2009. As Canada’s most senior court, with a heavy case load and awesome responsibilities, the court surely deserved better treatment. We are also entitled to ask: How could the selection procedure have become so distorted and what can be done to avoid the same thing happening in the future?

Is Bigger Always Better? On Optimal Panel Size with Evidence from the Supreme Court of Canada

I have recently posted a new paper on SSRN entitled, Is Bigger Always Better? On Optimal Panel Size, with Evidence from the Supreme Court of Canada. It is work coauthored with Andrew Green and Ed Iacobucci.  In the paper we model how panel size should be determined by High Courts that provide for this kind of flexibility (and most do).  Our model supports the following predictions: (a) all else the same, more important appeals should be heard by larger panels; (b) all else the same, very easy and very difficult appeals should be heard by smaller panels; and (c) all else the same, appeals of intermediate difficulty should be heard by the largest panels.  We find that the predictions of our model are borne out by an analysis of the panel assignments at the Supreme Court of Canada from 1984-2005.

 

Promotion of Federally Appointed Judges and Appointment of Chief Justices: The Unfinished Agenda

The following paper is a chapter in a book on JUDICIAL INDEPENDENCE, edited by Lorne Sossin and Adam Dodek, and expected to be published by the University of Toronto Press in 2009. The paper will also be discussed at a Faculty Seminar to be held on November 24, 2008. Comments and suggestions will be very welcome.

 

Charter Decisions in the McLachlin Era

Andrew Green and I have just posted a new paper on SSRN in which we analyze 105 Charter decisions of the Supreme Court of Canada.  Here's the abstract:

This paper examines how justices on the Supreme Court of Canada voted in Charter appeals between 2000 and 2009. Charter appeals, at least in popular belief (and possibly also in theory), have the greatest potential to reveal voting that is influenced by extra-legal policy preferences. Confining the analysis to the time during which Chief Justice McLachlin has led the Court aids in controlling for the effects of a particular Chief Justice in assessing the roles of ideology and consensus.

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